The probability that the islanders will win exactly two games is 0.359.
The binomial distribution is based on the binomial theorem which can be written as (a + b)ⁿ = ⁿC₀aⁿb⁰ + ⁿC₁aⁿ⁻¹b¹ + ⁿC₂aⁿ⁻²b²+ ....+ ⁿCₙa₀bⁿ.
In order to use in the probability, there should be events independent of each other and the sum of there probabilities is 1.
Given that,
The probability of winning is 4/7.
Then the probability to lose is 1 - 4/7 = 3/7.
If islanders win exactly two games out of four, it implies that they will lose 2 as well.
Now, the probability of winning exactly two games can be found using binomial distribution as given below,
⁴C₂(4/7)²(3/7)²
= 6 × 16/49 × 9/49
= 864/2401
= 0.359
Hence, the probability of winning exactly two games is 0.359.
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